•  
  •  
 

Abstract

This research aims to identify the impact of population age structure on Iraq's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by analyzing various age cohorts, including children, the productive working-age population, and the elderly, to support effective economic planning. Iraq’s demographic profile is characterized by a high degree of youthfulness; for instance, the age group under five years old approached nearly seventeen percent of the total population in 2007, while those under fifteen years old accounted for forty-three percent in the same year. Regarding the working-age population (ages 15 to 64), their proportion reached fifty-six percent and fifty-seven percent in 1997 and 2000, respectively. During the study period from 1987 to 2007, the GDP growth rate averaged approximately 9.7 percent, while the population growth rate was 2.7 percent between 1987 and 1997, before experiencing a significant relative increase to nearly 3.1 percent in the subsequent decade. Econometric analysis indicates that the productive age group variable is statistically significant, demonstrating that a 23.57 percent increase in this demographic segment leads to a one percent increase in the Gross Domestic Product.

DOI

10.33095/jeas.v19i72.950

Subject Area

Economics

First Page

188

Last Page

198

Share

COinS