Key Factors Affecting Arable Land Areas in Iraq: An Analytical Economic Study (1990–2021)

Authors

• Duaa Emad Ahmed, Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Agricultural Engineering Sciences, University of Baghdad, IraqFollow
• Osamah Kadhim Jbara, Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Agricultural Engineering Sciences, University of Baghdad, IraqFollow
• Kais Hassan Alwan, Ashur University of Baghdad, IraqFollow

Abstract

This paper aims to measure and analyze the factors affecting arable land areas in Iraq during the period (1990–2021), to determine the nature of the relationship between these factors in the short and long term. The study analyzed the relationship between the quantity of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers used in agriculture, the volume of water inflow from the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, and investment allocations for land reclamation projects. It evaluated their impact on arable land areas in Iraq. Results using the ARDL methodology indicated a long-term cointegration relationship between the variables through the bounds test. The F-value reached 7.597. This value was greater than the lower and upper bound values at all significance levels. Through the short- and long-term coefficients, it became clear that all used variables had an impact on arable land areas. The R² value reached 0.86. One of the most important conclusions reached by the research is that the volume of water inflow from the Tigris and Euphrates rivers had the greatest impact among all independent factors.

DOI

10.33095/2227-703X.4363

Article Type

Research Article

Subject Area

Economics

First Page

77

Last Page

86

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License

Recommended Citation

Ahmed, D., Jbara, O., & Alwan, K. (2026). Key Factors Affecting Arable Land Areas in Iraq: An Analytical Economic Study (1990–2021). Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 32(3), 77-86. https://doi.org/10.33095/2227-703X.4363